What will be the spot exchange rate value of the US dollar to one euro on 28 March 2024?

Started Dec 01, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 28, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The Federal Reserve releases daily bilateral exchange rate data on a weekly basis (Federal Reserve). The question will be suspended on 27 March 2024 and the outcome determined using Federal Reserve data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in early April 2024 (FRED). On 22 November 2023, the spot exchange rate value was 1.0871.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Between 1.080 and 1.120, inclusive" with a closing date of 28 March 2024.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 1.000 3%
Between 1.000 and 1.040, inclusive 0%
Higher than 1.040 but lower than 1.080 14%
Between 1.080 and 1.120, inclusive 82%
Higher than 1.120 but lower than 1.160 1%
Between 1.160 and 1.200, inclusive 0%
Higher than 1.200 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 79
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 180
Number of Forecasts 509
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 464
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.055669
2.
-0.053551
3.
-0.053498
4.
-0.051651
5.
-0.047736

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username