Will Presidents Claudine Gay of Harvard University and/or Sally Kornbluth of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) cease to be the presidents of their respective institutions before 11 January 2024?

Started Dec 11, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 11, 2024 08:01AM UTC
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Calls for the presidents of Harvard and MIT to resign have continued in the wake of early December 2023 US House hearings on antisemitism on college campuses, with Liz Magill of the University of Pennsylvania having already resigned on 9 December 2023 (USA Today, CNN, NPR).

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The question closed "Yes, only Claudine Gay" with a closing date of 11 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, only Claudine Gay 95%
Yes, only Sally Kornbluth 0%
Yes, both Claudine Gay and Sally Kornbluth 5%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 92
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 180
Number of Forecasts 317
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 465
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.862
3.
-0.78
4.
-0.65
5.
-0.623

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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