What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 5 March 2024, according to FiveThirtyEight?
Closed Mar 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
The question will be suspended on 4 March 2024 and the outcome determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of the launch of this question, Biden's approval rating on 15 December 2023 was 38.6%. The data for 5 March 2024 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 8 March 2024.
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The question closed "At least 37.0%, but less than 39.0%" with a closing date of 5 March 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 35.0% | 0% | |
| At least 35.0%, but less than 37.0% | 2% | |
| At least 37.0%, but less than 39.0% | 71% | |
| At least 39.0%, but less than 41.0% | 25% | |
| At least 41.0%, but less than 43.0% | 2% | |
| At least 43.0%, but less than 45.0% | 0% | |
| 45.0% or higher | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 139 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 570 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
