When will Rishi Sunak cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?
Started
Dec 29, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 05, 2024 10:00AM UTC
Closed Jul 05, 2024 10:00AM UTC
Challenges
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is facing weak polling and has reportedly said that there will be parliamentary elections called in 2024 (MSN, The Independent, BBC).
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The question closed "Between 1 July 2024 and 31 December 2024" with a closing date of 5 July 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 1 July 2024 | 0% | |
| Between 1 July 2024 and 31 December 2024 | 96% | |
| Not before 1 January 2025 | 4% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 103 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 178 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 435 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 521 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
