Will the full US House of Representatives vote on impeaching President Joe Biden before 13 July 2024?

Started Dec 29, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 13, 2024 07:01AM UTC

On 13 December 2023, the House of Representatives voted to authorize an impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden, which had begun in September 2023 at the behest of then-Speaker Kevin McCarthy (AP, Axios). Only votes by the full House of Representatives will count (Congressional Research Service). The question will not close early upon a full House vote to not impeach President Biden.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 13 July 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, and the full House will vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden 1%
Yes, but the full House will not vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden 1%
No 98%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 77
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 278
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.158254
2.
-0.154916
3.
-0.144304
4.
-0.141858
5.
-0.141858

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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