Will the full US House of Representatives vote on impeaching President Joe Biden before 13 July 2024?
Closed Jul 13, 2024 07:01AM UTC
On 13 December 2023, the House of Representatives voted to authorize an impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden, which had begun in September 2023 at the behest of then-Speaker Kevin McCarthy (AP, Axios). Only votes by the full House of Representatives will count (Congressional Research Service). The question will not close early upon a full House vote to not impeach President Biden.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 13 July 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, and the full House will vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden | 1% | |
| Yes, but the full House will not vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden | 1% | |
| No | 98% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 77 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 278 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |