The Economist asks:

When will a new parliamentary election be called in Canada?

Started Jan 05, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is expected to seek another term, but if and when new elections will be called remains up in the air (Economist, CBC). For early elections to be called, the Governor General, usually at the request of the prime minister, must dissolve parliament and issue election writs (Elections Canada, Edmonton Journal, Canadian Gazette - Proclamation Dissolving Parliament, Canadian Gazette - Proclamation Issuing Election Writs). The date an early election is to be held is immaterial, and the calling of a by-election would not count (Elections Canada).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before 1 June 2024 0% -0.05% -1.11% -2.00%
Between 1 June 2024 and 30 September 2024 8.00% -0.03% -2.19% -3.00%
Not before 1 October 2024 92.00% +0.08% +3.30% +5.00%

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