CommunityCollege asks:
Who will win the Democratic primary for the US Senate election for New Jersey in 2024?
Started
Jan 05, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 04, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jun 04, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
As incumbent Senator Bob Menendez faces federal corruption charges, New Jersey First Lady Tammy Murphy, Rep. Andy Kim, and others are vying for the Democratic nomination (AP, Politico, The Hill). The Democratic primary is scheduled for 4 June 2024 (Ballotpedia).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Andy Kim" with a closing date of 4 June 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Kim | 84% | |
| Bob Menendez | 5% | |
| Tammy Murphy | 7% | |
| Someone else | 4% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 71 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 200 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 162 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 571 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
