Before 20 April 2024, will a US court either 1) rule that District Attorney Fani Willis and/or special prosecutor Nathan Wade are disqualified from prosecuting any or all defendants in the Georgia criminal case against Donald Trump and/or any of his codefendants, or 2) dismiss any of those indictments due to purported impropriety by Willis and/or Wade?

Started Jan 10, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 15, 2024 01:00PM UTC

On 8 January 2024, an attorney for one of Donald Trump's codefendants filed a motion seeking to disqualify Willis and Wade and dismiss an indictment for, among other things, having an improper relationship (The Hill, ABC News, Motion to Disqualify and Dismiss, PBS). Appeals and litigation subsequent to a ruling or dismissal are immaterial. A ruling or dismissal in either a state or federal court would count.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 15 March 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 33%
No 67%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 89
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 180
Number of Forecasts 192
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 465
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.361
2.
-1.285
3.
-1.123

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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