Before 20 April 2024, will a US court either 1) rule that District Attorney Fani Willis and/or special prosecutor Nathan Wade are disqualified from prosecuting any or all defendants in the Georgia criminal case against Donald Trump and/or any of his codefendants, or 2) dismiss any of those indictments due to purported impropriety by Willis and/or Wade?
Closed Mar 15, 2024 01:00PM UTC
On 8 January 2024, an attorney for one of Donald Trump's codefendants filed a motion seeking to disqualify Willis and Wade and dismiss an indictment for, among other things, having an improper relationship (The Hill, ABC News, Motion to Disqualify and Dismiss, PBS). Appeals and litigation subsequent to a ruling or dismissal are immaterial. A ruling or dismissal in either a state or federal court would count.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 15 March 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33% | |
| No | 67% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 89 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 200 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 192 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 571 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
