Will a US presidential candidate other than the Democratic Party and Republican Party nominees win any electoral votes in the 2024 presidential election?

Started Jan 12, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The 2024 US presidential election cycle brings the potential for major third-party and/or independent candidates (NBC News, USA Today). The winner of the most votes in a jurisdiction will be considered to have won the electoral votes for that jurisdiction, and whether there are any "faithless electors" as part of the Electoral College in the 2024 presidential election is immaterial (Ballotpedia).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 3.30% -0.01% 0% -1.23%
No 96.70% +0.01% 0% +1.23%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username