What will President Biden's approval rating be as of 7 June 2024, according to FiveThirtyEight?
Started
Jan 12, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 07, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closing Jun 07, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
The question will be suspended on 6 June 2024 and the outcome determined using "All polls" chart data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of the launch of this question, Biden's approval rating on 4 January 2024 was 38.3%. The data for 7 June 2024 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 11 June 2024.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower than 34.0% | 1.00% | 0% | 0% | -2.00% |
| At least 34.0%, but less than 36.0% | 1.00% | -1.00% | -1.00% | -1.00% |
| At least 36.0%, but less than 38.0% | 18.00% | -1.00% | 0% | +4.00% |
| At least 38.0%, but less than 40.0% | 61.00% | +1.00% | +5.00% | +15.00% |
| At least 40.0%, but less than 42.0% | 13.00% | 0% | -4.00% | -8.00% |
| At least 42.0%, but less than 44.0% | 2.00% | 0% | 0% | -6.00% |
| At least 44.0%, but less than 46.0% | 2.00% | 0% | 0% | -2.00% |
| 46.0% or higher | 2.00% | +1.00% | 0% | 0% |