Who will win the Republican primary for the US Senate election for Ohio in 2024?

Started Jan 12, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 19, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The race to face incumbent US Sen. Sherrod Brown includes state Sen. Matt Dolan, Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose, and Trump-endorsed Bernie Moreno (Politico, NBC News). The Republican primary is scheduled for 19 March 2024 (Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "Bernie Moreno" with a closing date of 19 March 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Matt Dolan 14%
Frank LaRose 9%
Bernie Moreno 77%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 47
Average for questions older than 6 months: 200
Number of Forecasts 142
Average for questions older than 6 months: 571
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.34789
2.
-0.324343
3.
-0.316263
4.
-0.295406
5.
-0.294139

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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