What percentage of the vote will President Joe Biden receive in the 2024 South Carolina Democratic primary?
Started
Jan 17, 2024 03:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 03, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Feb 03, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
There are three candidates on the South Carolina Democratic primary ballot: President Joe Biden, Minnesota Rep. Dean Phillips, and Marianne Williamson (South Carolina Democratic Party). The South Carolina Democratic primary is scheduled for 3 February 2024 (South Carolina Election Commission).
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The question closed "90.0% or more" with a closing date of 3 February 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 50.0% | 0% | |
| At least 50.0%, but less than 60.0% | 4% | |
| At least 60.0%, but less than 70.0% | 12% | |
| At least 70.0%, but less than 80.0% | 29% | |
| At least 80.0%, but less than 90.0% | 34% | |
| 90.0% or more | 21% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 77 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 185 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 134 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 538 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
