What percentage of the vote will President Joe Biden receive in the 2024 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Started Jan 17, 2024 03:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 03, 2024 08:01AM UTC

There are three candidates on the South Carolina Democratic primary ballot: President Joe Biden, Minnesota Rep. Dean Phillips, and Marianne Williamson (South Carolina Democratic Party). The South Carolina Democratic primary is scheduled for 3 February 2024 (South Carolina Election Commission).

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The question closed "90.0% or more" with a closing date of 3 February 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 50.0% 0%
At least 50.0%, but less than 60.0% 4%
At least 60.0%, but less than 70.0% 12%
At least 70.0%, but less than 80.0% 29%
At least 80.0%, but less than 90.0% 34%
90.0% or more 21%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 77
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 180
Number of Forecasts 134
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 465
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.431
3.
-0.337
4.
-0.315
5.
-0.301

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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