Will President Joe Biden win at least 80.0% of the vote in the 2024 Nevada Democratic primary?

Started Jan 17, 2024 03:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 06, 2024 08:01AM UTC

There are 13 Democratic candidates on the Nevada Democratic primary ballot, including President Joe Biden and Marianne Williamson (Nevada Secretary of State, KRNV). The Nevada Democratic primary is scheduled for 6 February 2024 (270 to Win).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 6 February 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 87%
No 13%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 85
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 180
Number of Forecasts 145
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 465
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.037
2.
-0.037
3.
-0.037
4.
-0.036
5.
-0.035

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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