Will Donald Trump cease to be a candidate for the 2024 Republican nomination for US president before 15 July 2024?

Started Jan 22, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Trump is leading the shrinking field of Republican candidates for president as his legal issues continue (NBC News, ABC News, Politico). Examples of what will count for resolution of this question include an official announcement that Trump no longer seeks the Republican Party nomination for president or that he is fully suspending his campaign.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 4.75% -0.12% -1.24% -1.87%
No 95.25% +0.12% +1.24% +1.87%

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