Will Donald Trump cease to be a candidate for the 2024 Republican nomination for US president before 15 July 2024?
Closed Jul 15, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Trump is leading the shrinking field of Republican candidates for president as his legal issues continue (NBC News, ABC News, Politico). Examples of what will count for resolution of this question include an official announcement that Trump no longer seeks the Republican Party nomination for president or that he is fully suspending his campaign.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 July 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | |
| No | 95% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 334 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 200 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 791 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 571 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
