When will Nikki Haley cease to be a candidate for the 2024 Republican nomination for US president?
Closed Mar 06, 2024 03:05PM UTC
Haley is pushing hard to stay in the race for the Republican nomination as endorsements for Trump add up (ABC News, CBS News). Examples of what will count for resolution of this question include an official announcement that Haley no longer seeks the Republican Party nomination for president or that she is fully suspending her campaign.
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The question closed "Between 6 March 2024 and 18 April 2024" with a closing date of 6 March 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 6 March 2024 | 9% | |
| Between 6 March 2024 and 18 April 2024 | 57% | |
| Between 19 April 2024 and 1 June 2024 | 11% | |
| Between 2 June 2024 and 14 July 2024 | 6% | |
| Not before 15 July 2024 | 17% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 203 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 179 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 504 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 463 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
