What percentage of the vote will Nikki Haley receive in the 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary?

Started Jan 24, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 24, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Nikki Haley, who was governor of South Carolina for two terms, is fighting for her presidential campaign's survival as Donald Trump stacks up endorsements (WHYY, ABC News). The South Carolina Republican primary is scheduled for 24 February 2024 (270 to Win).

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The question closed "At least 30.0%, but less than 40.0%" with a closing date of 24 February 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 10.0% 3%
At least 10.0%, but less than 20.0% 6%
At least 20.0%, but less than 30.0% 20%
At least 30.0%, but less than 40.0% 51%
At least 40.0%, but less than 50.0% 18%
50.0% or more 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 187
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 147
Number of Forecasts 416
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 331
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.122
2.
-0.117
4.
-0.107
5.
-0.103

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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