Will the No Labels organization select a 2024 US presidential candidate before 15 June 2024?
Started
Feb 02, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 04, 2024 08:15PM UTC
Closed Apr 04, 2024 08:15PM UTC
Challenges
No Labels, an organization created to offer alternatives to the major party candidates, has stated that it will put forward a candidate for president this year (Axios, CNN, The Hill, Yahoo, No Labels). The question will close early if the No Labels organization publicly announces that it will not select a 2024 US presidential candidate.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 4 April 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, and Joe Manchin will be selected | 3% | |
| Yes, and Larry Hogan will be selected | 3% | |
| Yes, and someone else will be selected | 24% | |
| No | 70% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 53 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 179 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 528 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
