What percentage of the vote will Joe Biden receive in the 2024 Michigan Democratic presidential primary?

Started Feb 02, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 27, 2024 08:01AM UTC

There are three candidates on the Michigan Democratic primary ballot: President Joe Biden, Minnesota Rep. Dean Phillips, and Marianne Williamson (Michigan Secretary of State). The Michigan Democratic primary is scheduled for 27 February 2024 (270 to Win).

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The question closed "At least 75.0%, but less than 85.0%" with a closing date of 27 February 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 65.0% 1%
At least 65.0%, but less than 75.0% 13%
At least 75.0%, but less than 85.0% 47%
At least 85.0%, but less than 95.0% 33%
95.0% or more 6%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 47
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 147
Number of Forecasts 149
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 331
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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