What percentage of the vote will Joe Biden receive in the 2024 Michigan Democratic presidential primary?
Started
Feb 02, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 27, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Feb 27, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
There are three candidates on the Michigan Democratic primary ballot: President Joe Biden, Minnesota Rep. Dean Phillips, and Marianne Williamson (Michigan Secretary of State). The Michigan Democratic primary is scheduled for 27 February 2024 (270 to Win).
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The question closed "At least 75.0%, but less than 85.0%" with a closing date of 27 February 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 65.0% | 1% | |
At least 65.0%, but less than 75.0% | 13% | |
At least 75.0%, but less than 85.0% | 47% | |
At least 85.0%, but less than 95.0% | 33% | |
95.0% or more | 6% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 47 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 191 | |
Number of Forecasts | 149 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 550 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |