What percentage of the vote will Nikki Haley receive in the 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary?

Started Feb 02, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 27, 2024 08:01AM UTC

As of the end of January 2024, Nikki Haley was the last major challenger to Donald Trump for the GOP presidential nomination (Politico, Newsweek). The Michigan Republican primary is scheduled for 27 February 2024 (270 to Win).

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The question closed "At least 20.0%, but less than 30.0%" with a closing date of 27 February 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 10.0% 6%
At least 10.0%, but less than 20.0% 23%
At least 20.0%, but less than 30.0% 62%
At least 30.0%, but less than 40.0% 8%
40.0% or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 53
Average for questions in their first 4 weeks: 106
Number of Forecasts 136
Average for questions in their first 4 weeks: 185
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.108
2.
-0.064
3.
-0.056
4.
-0.055
5.
-0.055

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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