What percentage of the vote will Nikki Haley receive in the 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary?
Started
Feb 02, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 27, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Feb 27, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
As of the end of January 2024, Nikki Haley was the last major challenger to Donald Trump for the GOP presidential nomination (Politico, Newsweek). The Michigan Republican primary is scheduled for 27 February 2024 (270 to Win).
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The question closed "At least 20.0%, but less than 30.0%" with a closing date of 27 February 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 10.0% | 6% | |
| At least 10.0%, but less than 20.0% | 23% | |
| At least 20.0%, but less than 30.0% | 62% | |
| At least 30.0%, but less than 40.0% | 8% | |
| 40.0% or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 53 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 179 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 136 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 463 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
