Will Representative Dean Phillips cease to be a candidate for the 2024 Democratic nomination for US president before 9 June 2024?

Started Feb 09, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 06, 2024 07:30PM UTC

Minnesota Representative Dean Phillips has continued his challenge to President Biden's quest for the 2024 Democratic nomination despite overwhelming odds (USA Today). Examples of what will count for resolution of this question include an official announcement that Phillips no longer seeks the Democratic Party nomination for president or that he is fully suspending his campaign.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 6 March 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 86%
No 14%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 56
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 146
Number of Forecasts 96
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 330
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.149742
2.
-0.149542
3.
-0.134165
4.
-0.134165
5.
-0.134165

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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