What percentage of the vote will Rep. Dean Phillips receive in the 2024 Minnesota Democratic presidential primary?

Started Feb 16, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

With Marianne Williamson dropping out of the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, the final noteworthy candidate competing against President Biden is Minnesota Rep. Dean Phillips (Politico, Ballotpedia). The Minnesota Democratic primary is scheduled for 5 March 2024 (270 to Win, Minnesota Public Radio).

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The question closed "At least 5.0%, but less than 10.0%" with a closing date of 5 March 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 5.0% 32%
At least 5.0%, but less than 10.0% 53%
At least 10.0%, but less than 15.0% 14%
At least 15.0%, but less than 20.0% 1%
20.0% or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 40
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 177
Number of Forecasts 96
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 457
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.149308
2.
-0.121692
3.
-0.118686
4.
-0.115003
5.
-0.100975

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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