Will the Chicago Bears make the first overall pick for the 2024 NFL Draft?

Started Feb 16, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 25, 2024 07:01AM UTC

NFL observers have been speculating what it would take for the Bears to trade away their first overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft (USA Today, CBS Sports, Fox 32 Chicago). The Bears traded away their number one overall draft pick to the Carolina Panthers in 2023 in exchange for, among other things, the Panther's first round pick in 2024 (NFL - News). Since the Panthers had the worst record in the NFL in 2023, their first-round pick, held by the Bears as of the launch of this question, is first overall. The 2024 NFL Draft is scheduled to begin in Detroit, Michigan, on 25 April 2024 (NFL).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 25 April 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 95%
No 5%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 146
Number of Forecasts 125
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 329
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.086264
2.
-0.086264
3.
-0.086264
4.
-0.086264
5.
-0.086264

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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