Supak asks:
What will be the highest reported Antarctic sea ice extent in 2024 as of 11 October 2024?
Closing Oct 11, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Antarctic sea ice extent, a measure of the ocean area in the southern hemisphere that is at least 15% sea ice, was historically low in 2023 (Axios). The question will be suspended on 10 October 2024 and the outcome determined using graph data as provided by the National Snow & Ice Data Center's (NSIDC's) "Charctic Interactive Sea Ice Graph" at approximately 5:00PM ET on 11 October 2024 (Charctic Interactive Sea Ice Graph, click "Antarctic" on the left side above the graph, About Charctic Data). Other site data is immaterial. As of the launch of this question, the highest daily reported Antarctic sea ice extent in 2023 was 16.956 million sq. km on 10 September.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 15.4 million sq. km | 0.30% | 0% | -0.10% | -2.30% |
| At least 15.4 million sq. km, but less than 16.0 million sq. km | 1.00% | -0.50% | -0.90% | -5.10% |
| At least 16.0 million sq. km, but less than 16.6 million sq. km | 8.50% | -0.60% | -2.10% | -5.30% |
| At least 16.6 million sq. km, but less than 17.2 million sq. km | 16.40% | -0.40% | -1.50% | -4.00% |
| At least 17.2 million sq. km, but less than 17.8 million sq. km | 31.30% | +0.20% | -0.50% | +1.50% |
| At least 17.8 million sq. km, but less than 18.4 million sq. km | 27.00% | +0.60% | +3.70% | +11.40% |
| At least 18.4 million sq. km, but less than 19.0 million sq. km | 12.40% | +0.70% | +1.40% | +4.00% |
| 19.0 million sq. km or more | 3.10% | 0% | 0% | -0.20% |