Supak asks:

What will be the lowest reported Arctic sea ice extent in 2024 as of 4 October 2024?

Started Feb 23, 2024 03:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 04, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Arctic sea ice extent, a measure of the ocean area in the northern hemisphere that is at least 15% sea ice, has trended down in past decades (NOAA). The question will be suspended on 3 October 2024 and the outcome determined using graph data as provided by the National Snow & Ice Data Center's (NSIDC's) "Charctic Interactive Sea Ice Graph" at approximately 5:00PM ET on 4 October 2024 (Charctic Interactive Sea Ice Graph, click "Arctic" on the left side above the graph, About Charctic Data). Other site data is immaterial. As of the launch of this question, the lowest daily reported Arctic sea ice extent in 2023 was 4.230 million sq. km on 19 September.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than 3.4 million sq. km 5.00% 0% -0.67% -1.00%
At least 3.4 million sq. km, but less than 3.8 million sq. km 13.00% 0% -2.50% -2.00%
At least 3.8 million sq. km, but less than 4.2 million sq. km 22.00% +1.00% +1.89% 0%
At least 4.2 million sq. km, but less than 4.6 million sq. km 27.00% 0% +3.89% +4.00%
At least 4.6 million sq. km, but less than 5.0 million sq. km 17.00% 0% -1.06% -1.00%
At least 5.0 million sq. km, but less than 5.4 million sq. km 10.00% 0% +0.17% +1.00%
5.4 million sq. km or more 6.00% -1.00% -1.72% -1.00%

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