Will an F1 driver secure the 2024 championship at or before the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix, scheduled for 27 October 2024?

Started Feb 23, 2024 03:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 27, 2024 07:01AM UTC

In 2023, Max Verstappen was crowned the F1 Drivers Champion at the Qatar Grand Prix with five races to go in the season, tying a record set by Michael Schumacher in 2002 (CNN, Formula 1 Points, Formula 1 - 2024 Schedule). The question will be suspended on 26 October 2024 if still open and the outcome determined using driver standings and open source reporting. If the Mexico City Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after a subsequent race, a driver will have had to secure the 2024 championship before the currently scheduled date for the Mexico City Grand Prix to count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 65.35% +2.35% +4.41% -3.78%
No 34.65% -2.35% -4.41% +3.78%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username