What percentage of the vote will Nikki Haley receive in the 2024 New York Republican presidential primary?

Started Feb 26, 2024 05:30PM UTC
Closed Apr 02, 2024 07:01AM UTC

After her loss in her home state of South Carolina, Nikki Haley has indicated that her campaign for the Republican nomination will continue (NPR, USA Today). The New York Republican primary is scheduled for 2 April 2024 (270 to Win).

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The question closed "At least 8.0%, but less than 16.0%" with a closing date of 2 April 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 8.0% 33%
At least 8.0%, but less than 16.0% 42%
At least 16.0%, but less than 24.0% 22%
At least 24.0%, but less than 32.0% 3%
At least 32.0%, but less than 40.0% 0%
40.0% or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 64
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 147
Number of Forecasts 206
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 331
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.199
4.
-0.175
5.
-0.164

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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