How many National League Major League Baseball (MLB) teams will lose 100 or more games in the 2024 regular season?

Started Feb 28, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 29, 2024 03:06AM UTC

In the 2024 MLB season, all baseball teams are divided into one of six divisions, with three divisions in the American League (AL) and three in the National League (NL) (Sports Interaction). In the 2023 regular season, one NL team lost 100 or more games: the Colorado Rockies with 103 (MLB - 2023 Standings). The regular season is scheduled to conclude on 29 September 2024 (MLB - 2024 Schedule). If the number of games played by all teams in the regular season is changed for any reason, the threshold will not be adjusted.

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The question closed "2" with a closing date of 28 September 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0 0%
1 15%
2 79%
3 or more 6%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 40
Average for questions older than 6 months: 190
Number of Forecasts 289
Average for questions older than 6 months: 548
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.27011
2.
-0.179881
3.
-0.164368
4.
-0.16058
5.
-0.150996

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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