What will be the spot exchange rate value of the Chinese yuan renminbi to one US dollar on 28 June 2024?

Started Mar 01, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 28, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The Federal Reserve releases daily bilateral exchange rate data on a weekly basis (Federal Reserve). The question will be suspended on 27 June 2024 and the outcome determined using Federal Reserve data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in early July 2024 (FRED). On 12 February 2024, the spot exchange rate value was 7.1928.

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The question closed "At least 7.20, but less than 7.35" with a closing date of 28 June 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 6.75 0%
At least 6.75, but less than 6.90 0%
At least 6.90, but less than 7.05 0%
At least 7.05, but less than 7.20 4%
At least 7.20, but less than 7.35 95%
At least 7.35, but less than 7.50 1%
7.50 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 42
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 172
Number of Forecasts 279
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 447
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.063169
3.
-0.058552
4.
-0.028906
5.
-0.026781

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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