What will be the price of Ethereum on 30 June 2024?

Started Mar 01, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Ethereum, the cryptocurrency second only to bitcoin in market capitalization as of February 2024, saw major gains in the beginning of 2024 amid anticipation of a "Dencun upgrade" and speculation about a possible Ethereum ETF (Yahoo, Unchained, Consensys). The question will be suspended on 29 June 2024 and the outcome determined using Coinbase price data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 12 February 2024, the price of one Ethereum was $2,666.22.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "At least $3,000, but less than $3,500" with a closing date of 30 June 2024.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $1,000 0%
At least $1,000, but less than $1,500 0%
At least $1,500, but less than $2,000 0%
At least $2,000, but less than $2,500 0%
At least $2,500, but less than $3,000 3%
At least $3,000, but less than $3,500 73%
At least $3,500, but less than $4,000 22%
At least $4,000, but less than $4,500 1%
At least $4,500, but less than $5,100 1%
At least $5,100, but less than $5,800 0%
At least $5,800, but less than $6,600 0%
$6,600 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 171
Number of Forecasts 425
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 444
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.073437
2.
-0.065126
3.
-0.049941
4.
-0.046433
5.
-0.041386

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username