Will a member of the LIV Golf League (LIV) win the 2024 PGA Championship?

Started Mar 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 19, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Saudi Public Investment Fund-backed LIV, founded in 2021, has been a rival to the nearly-century old PGA which generally has not permitted LIV golfers to participate in their events, with some exceptions (Golf Digest, National Club Golfer). The PGA Championship is scheduled for 13-19 May 2024 (PGA Championship). If a merger between LIV and the PGA is completed before the PGA Championship, further instructions will be given depending on the nature of a final agreement (Today's Golfer).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 19 May 2024.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 22%
No 78%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 21
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 145
Number of Forecasts 50
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 326
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.160542
3.
-0.160542
4.
-0.141375
5.
-0.140219

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username