Who will Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. announce as his running mate in the 2024 US presidential election?
Started
Mar 13, 2024 09:30PM UTC
Closed Mar 26, 2024 07:30PM UTC
Closed Mar 26, 2024 07:30PM UTC
Challenges
On 13 March 2024, Kennedy's campaign said that he would announce his running mate at an event in Oakland, California, on 26 March 2024 (CNN, The Hill).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Someone else" with a closing date of 26 March 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Tulsi Gabbard | 3% | |
Tricia Lindsay | 1% | |
Rand Paul | 0% | |
Tony Robbins | 0% | |
Aaron Rodgers | 0% | |
Mike Rowe | 1% | |
Jesse Ventura | 5% | |
Andrew Yang | 0% | |
Someone else | 86% | |
Kennedy will not announce his running mate before 9 April 2024 or will cease to be a candidate | 4% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 37 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 92 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |