Who will win the US Senate election for Arizona in 2024?

Started Mar 15, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

As of 15 March 2024, Republicans are defending 11 seats while Democrats and aligned independents are defending 23 on 5 November 2024 (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 86%
The Republican Party candidate 11%
Someone else 3%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 93
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188
Number of Forecasts 310
Average for questions older than 6 months: 544
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.124315
2.
-0.122919
3.
-0.121557
5.
-0.114724

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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