Who will Donald Trump announce as his running mate in the 2024 US presidential election?
Started
Mar 29, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 15, 2024 07:10PM UTC
Closed Jul 15, 2024 07:10PM UTC
Challenges
Speculation abounds as to who Trump will pick as his running mate for the 2024 presidential election (US News & World Report, BBC, CNN). Formal nomination at the Republican National Convention is immaterial, and the announcement must be made publicly by Donald Trump to count.
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The question closed "JD Vance" with a closing date of 15 July 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Greg Abbott | 0% | |
| Ben Carson | 3% | |
| Ron DeSantis | 0% | |
| Byron Donalds | 1% | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 0% | |
| Nikki Haley | 1% | |
| Kari Lake | 1% | |
| Kristi Noem | 0% | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 1% | |
| Marco Rubio | 8% | |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 1% | |
| Tim Scott | 5% | |
| Elise Stefanik | 1% | |
| JD Vance | 34% | |
| Someone else | 39% | |
| Trump will not announce a running mate for the 2024 presidential election before 19 July 2024 or will cease to be a candidate | 4% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 98 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 168 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 436 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 439 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
