Will former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro be arrested by public authorities before 29 June 2024?

Started Mar 29, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 29, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Challenges

On 19 March 2024, a Brazilian federal police indictment against Bolsonaro was released by the country's Supreme Court, which included accusations of fraud related to whether he was vaccinated for COVID-19, though the decision whether to criminally charge him falls to the prosecutor-general's office (AP, Guardian, Yahoo). The ordering of Bolsonaro to house arrest with Bolsonaro's presence at the pertinent home confirmed will count. Brazilian airspace and territorial waters are considered to be "inside" Brazil. The jurisdiction served by public authorities who arrest Bolsonaro is immaterial.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes, inside Brazil 11.30% 0% -2.00% -11.90%
Yes, outside of Brazil 0.80% 0% 0% +0.30%
No 87.90% 0% +2.00% +11.60%

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