UBS asks:

How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen between 1 May 2024 and 31 July 2024?

Started Apr 03, 2024 02:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Total air passenger traffic in the US recovered to pre-pandemic levels in 2023 (IATA). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2024 and the outcome determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA - Passenger Throughput). Between 1 May 2023 and 31 July 2023, the TSA screened 231,565,005 travelers.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 224 million 2.00% 0% 0% -1.00%
At least 224 million, but fewer than 234 million 8.00% -2.00% -2.00% +1.00%
At least 234 million, but fewer than 244 million 29.00% 0% 0% +8.00%
At least 244 million, but fewer than 254 million 48.00% +3.00% +5.00% +4.00%
At least 254 million, but fewer than 264 million 12.00% 0% -2.00% -9.00%
At least 264 million, but fewer than 274 million 1.00% 0% -1.00% -2.00%
274 million or more 0% -1.00% 0% -1.00%

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