UBS asks:
How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen between 1 May 2024 and 31 July 2024?
Closing Aug 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Total air passenger traffic in the US recovered to pre-pandemic levels in 2023 (IATA). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2024 and the outcome determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA - Passenger Throughput). Between 1 May 2023 and 31 July 2023, the TSA screened 231,565,005 travelers.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 224 million | 2.00% | -1.00% | -1.00% |
| At least 224 million, but fewer than 234 million | 9.00% | 0% | +1.00% |
| At least 234 million, but fewer than 244 million | 26.00% | 0% | +3.00% |
| At least 244 million, but fewer than 254 million | 42.00% | 0% | -2.00% |
| At least 254 million, but fewer than 264 million | 18.00% | +1.00% | +1.00% |
| At least 264 million, but fewer than 274 million | 2.00% | 0% | -2.00% |
| 274 million or more | 1.00% | 0% | 0% |