UBS asks:
What will be the price of a bitcoin on 8 August 2024?
Closing Aug 08, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Bitcoin saw record highs in the first quarter of 2024 as its next "halving" approached (CoinDesk, MSN, News.bitcoin.com). The question will be suspended on 7 August 2024 and the outcome determined using Coinbase price data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 1 April 2024, the price of a bitcoin was $69,702.13.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $36,000 | 2.00% | 0% | 0% |
| At least $36,000, but less than $47,000 | 4.00% | 0% | 0% |
| At least $47,000, but less than $56,000 | 9.00% | +1.00% | 0% |
| At least $56,000, but less than $63,000 | 14.00% | 0% | 0% |
| At least $63,000, but less than $70,000 | 21.00% | 0% | -1.00% |
| At least $70,000, but less than $77,000 | 17.00% | 0% | +1.00% |
| At least $77,000, but less than $84,000 | 12.00% | +1.00% | 0% |
| At least $84,000, but less than $93,000 | 9.00% | 0% | 0% |
| At least $93,000, but less than $104,000 | 5.00% | 0% | 0% |
| At least $104,000, but less than $117,000 | 2.00% | -1.00% | -1.00% |
| At least $117,000, but less than $133,000 | 1.00% | 0% | -1.00% |
| At least $133,000, but less than $153,000 | 0% | -1.00% | -1.00% |
| $153,000 or more | 4.00% | 0% | +3.00% |