Will the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market exceed $5.2 trillion in 2024, according to CoinMarketCap?

Started Apr 12, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
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In early April 2024, Brad Garlinghouse, CEO of the cryptocurrency firm Ripple, said stated in an interview that he predicts that the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market will double by the end of 2024 (CNBC). The outcome will be determined using data as reported in the US by CoinMarketCap under "Market cap" (CoinMarketCap, set time to "1y" and for "All coins").

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 7%
No 93%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 35
Average for questions older than 6 months: 183
Number of Forecasts 130
Average for questions older than 6 months: 533
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.012196
2.
-0.012123
3.
-0.011249
4.
-0.009906
5.
-0.00981

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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