UBS asks:

What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for Inside Out 2, according to Box Office Mojo?

Started Apr 17, 2024 02:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 15, 2024 07:01AM UTC

After several disappointing box office performances, Disney is hoping to rebound in 2024 (ComicBook.com, Looper). The question will be suspended on 14 June 2024 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 14-16 June 2024 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released on 14 June 2024 (Hollywood Reporter).

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The question closed "$150 million or more" with a closing date of 17 June 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $50 million 0%
At least $50 million, but less than $75 million 8%
At least $75 million, but less than $100 million 33%
At least $100 million, but less than $125 million 42%
At least $125 million, but less than $150 million 16%
$150 million or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 171
Number of Forecasts 121
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 444
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.779672
2.
-0.63515
3.
-0.612585
4.
-0.51018
5.
-0.337616

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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