UBS asks:
What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for Inside Out 2, according to Box Office Mojo?
Closed Jun 15, 2024 07:01AM UTC
After several disappointing box office performances, Disney is hoping to rebound in 2024 (ComicBook.com, Looper). The question will be suspended on 14 June 2024 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 14-16 June 2024 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released on 14 June 2024 (Hollywood Reporter).
This question is part of the 2024 UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "$150 million or more" with a closing date of 17 June 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than $50 million | 0% | |
At least $50 million, but less than $75 million | 8% | |
At least $75 million, but less than $100 million | 33% | |
At least $100 million, but less than $125 million | 42% | |
At least $125 million, but less than $150 million | 16% | |
$150 million or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 37 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 121 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |