Who will win the election for New York's 17th Congressional District in 2024?

Started Apr 19, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Republicans fighting to maintain control of the closely divided House (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 32%
The Republican Party candidate 68%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 32
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188
Number of Forecasts 107
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.438173
2.
-0.415274
3.
-0.280701
4.
-0.269959
5.
-0.243993

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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