When will the closing price for Brent crude oil next reach or exceed $120.00 per barrel?

Started Apr 26, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 30, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Concerns about a broader conflict in the Middle East remain after Iran and Israel exchanged missile fire in April 2024 (CNBC, CBS News). The outcome will be determined using price data as reported by NASDAQ (NASDAQ, set chart to "1M").

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The question closed "Not before 31 October 2024" with a closing date of 31 October 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 27 June 2024 1%
Between 27 June 2024 and 28 August 2024 1%
Between 29 August 2024 30 October 2024 3%
Not before 31 October 2024 95%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 56
Average for questions older than 6 months: 191
Number of Forecasts 160
Average for questions older than 6 months: 550
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.000164
2.
-0.000164
3.
-0.000164
4.
-0.000164
5.
-0.000164

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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