Will a player seeded fourth or higher win the Women's Single Final at the 2024 French Open?

Started May 03, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 08, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Polish tennis star Iga Świątek will try to win the French Open for a fourth time in five years (Tennis.com). The 2024 French Open is scheduled from 20 May 2024 to 9 June 2024, with the Women's Single Final scheduled for 8 June 2024 (French Open (Roland-Garros) - Tentative Schedule). For the purposes of this question, "fourth or higher" means first, second, third, or fourth.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 8 June 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 84%
No 16%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 23
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 143
Number of Forecasts 100
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 322
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.106344
2.
-0.084233
3.
-0.037661
4.
-0.035261
5.
-0.033972

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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