Will early elections for the French National Assembly (Assemblée Nationale) be called before 1 July 2025?

Started May 10, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC

French President Emmanuel Macron is facing an emboldened opposition as National Rally (Rassemblement National, or RN) climbs in the polls (Le Monde, Yahoo [Telegraph]). If early elections are scheduled for a date after 30 June 2025, the suspend date will be extended to the day before the second-round date in the elections scheduled. If RN secures a plurality (or majority) or it is mathematically impossible after the first round, the question will close as of the date of the first round of elections. The constitutional mechanism used to dissolve the National Assembly and call early elections is found in Article 12 of the Constitution of the Fifth Republic (French Constitution, Le Monde).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Yes, and RN will win the most seats 7.10% -3.40% -8.47%
Yes, but RN will not win the most seats 2.40% -0.50% -0.03%
No 90.50% +3.90% +8.50%

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