Started Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 23, 2016 07:59AM UTC

&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

(Open: Exit Poll) Were you surprised by the outcome of the US Presidential election?

This is an open question which will not be scored. Please use the comment thread to tell us what surprised you about the outcome of the US Presidential election. Were you expecting the final result, or would you have changed your forecast in hindsight? What events led you to make your forecast? What information, in retrospect, do you wish you would have known during forecasting to improve your predictions. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


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Possible Answer Final Crowd Forecast
Remember to say in comments what surprised you, or what you misjudged. Then enter level of surprise (0%=No surprise, 100%=Completely surprised). 70.00%
No 30.00%
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