How much money will Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s presidential campaign have raised in the 2024 presidential election cycle as of 30 June 2024, according to the Federal Election Commission?

Started May 17, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

While Kennedy has received a lot of media attention in this presidential campaign, his fundraising totals have been modest (Politico). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the FEC once the campaign's financial reports through 30 June 2024 are published on the FEC's website, expected in July 2024 (FEC, click on the candidate’s name to see the coverage dates corresponding to the reported receipts and other additional details). From 1 February 2023 to 31 March 2024, Kennedy raised $33,358,067.88. A chart showing fundraising data for Kennedy over time is maintained by Ballotpedia (Ballotpedia). Please note that these figures do not include political action committee receipts.

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The question closed "At least $51.0 million, but less than $55.5 million" with a closing date of 1 July 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $37.5 million 0%
At least $37.5 million, but less than $42.0 million 0%
At least $42.0 million, but less than $46.5 million 0%
At least $46.5 million, but less than $51.0 million 71%
At least $51.0 million, but less than $55.5 million 27%
At least $55.5 million, but less than $60.0 million 2%
$60.0 million or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 18
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188
Number of Forecasts 59
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.11037
2.
-0.086717
3.
-0.051926
4.
-0.035224
5.
-0.024495

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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