How many seats will the Conservative Party win in the next UK general election?
Started
May 22, 2024 05:30PM UTC
Closing Jul 04, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closing Jul 04, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
The next UK general election is scheduled to be held on 4 July 2024 (BBC, Guardian).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 138 seats | 56.00% | +1.00% | +18.10% |
| At least 138 seats, but fewer than 185 seats | 33.00% | -2.00% | -15.95% |
| At least 185 seats, but fewer than 232 seats | 7.00% | 0% | -3.95% |
| At least 232 seats, but fewer than 279 seats | 2.00% | 0% | +0.25% |
| At least 279 seats, but fewer than 326 seats | 1.00% | 0% | +0.65% |
| 326 seats or more | 1.00% | +1.00% | +0.90% |