How many seats will the Conservative Party win in the next UK general election?

Started May 22, 2024 05:30PM UTC
Closing Jul 04, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The next UK general election is scheduled to be held on 4 July 2024 (BBC, Guardian).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Fewer than 138 seats 64.00% +4.00% +21.90%
At least 138 seats, but fewer than 185 seats 30.00% -3.00% -15.05%
At least 185 seats, but fewer than 232 seats 5.00% -1.00% -5.40%
At least 232 seats, but fewer than 279 seats 1.00% 0% -0.90%
At least 279 seats, but fewer than 326 seats 0% 0% -0.45%
326 seats or more 0% 0% -0.10%

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