What will be the price of bitcoin on 30 September 2024?

Started May 31, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2024 07:01AM UTC

As of early May 2024, Grayscale Bitcoin Trust's exchange-traded fund (ETF) was one of the best performing ETFs of 2024 (US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 29 September 2024 and the outcome determined using Coinbase price data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 26 May 2024, the price of a bitcoin was $68,474.60.

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The question closed "At least $58,000, but less than $64,000" with a closing date of 30 September 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $40,000 0%
At least $40,000, but less than $46,000 0%
At least $46,000, but less than $52,000 0%
At least $52,000, but less than $58,000 3%
At least $58,000, but less than $64,000 29%
At least $64,000, but less than $70,000 63%
At least $70,000, but less than $76,000 5%
At least $76,000, but less than $82,000 0%
At least $82,000, but less than $90,000 0%
At least $90,000, but less than $100,000 0%
At least $100,000, but less than $112,000 0%
At least $112,000, but less than $126,000 0%
At least $126,000, but less than $142,000 0%
$142,000 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 60
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188
Number of Forecasts 409
Average for questions older than 6 months: 544
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.099116
2.
-0.081086
3.
-0.063182
4.
-0.049536
5.
-0.04524

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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