Before 1 October 2025, will the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approve an application to register the Texas Stock Exchange as a national securities exchange?
Started
Jun 14, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
On 5 June 2024, a firm called TXSE Group announced its intention to launch the new Texas Stock Exchange in Dallas (TXSE, CBS News, Axios). The question will close upon the SEC announcing the approval (e.g., SEC). Any name changes or location changes within the state of Texas are immaterial.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 30 September 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | |
| No | 98% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 43 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 175 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |