Before 1 October 2025, will the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approve an application to register the Texas Stock Exchange as a national securities exchange?

Started Jun 14, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2025 05:00PM UTC
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On 5 June 2024, a firm called TXSE Group announced its intention to launch the new Texas Stock Exchange in Dallas (TXSE, CBS News, Axios). The question will close upon the SEC announcing the approval (e.g., SEC). Any name changes or location changes within the state of Texas are immaterial.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 30 September 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2%
No 98%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 43
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 175
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.491943
3.
-0.483486
4.
-0.472062
5.
-0.472062

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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