Will Colorado voters approve a new tax on the manufacture and sale of firearms and ammunition in the 2024 general election?
Started
Jun 14, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
On 8 May 2024, the Colorado legislature voted to put a new firearm and ammunition tax measure on the 2024 ballot (Ballotpedia, Colorado Newsline).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 83% | |
| No | 17% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 46 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 124 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
