Who will win the election for Arizona's 1st Congressional District in 2024?
Started
Jun 21, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Republicans fighting to maintain control of the closely divided House (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).
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The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| The Democratic Party candidate | 58% | |
| The Republican Party candidate | 42% | |
| Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 36 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 163 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 105 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 429 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
